New Donald Trump Odds For State And Federal Charges Suggest He’ll Be Found Guilty

Donald Trump standing next to a 2024 campaign podium

With each passing day, Donald Trump tests the limits of the judicial system in the United States, setting precedents with nearly every legal move.

The former President is now facing state charges in New York relating to coverup money paid to Stormy Daniels, and now he’s been charged in federal court in relation to his retention of classified documents.

There are also further charges expected involving Trump’s role in the January 6th invasion of the US Capitol Building.

All of this is going down while Trump is campaigning for reelection to the White House in 2024, and 18 friendly political betting sites actually feature him as the top contender to secure the Republican Party’s nomination.

There are also several political prop bets posted at our favorite sportsbook sites that suggest Trump’s legal outlook is grim. The following two Trump props are posted right now at Bovada sportsbook.

Will Donald Trump Be Found Guilty Of One Or More Of The Classified Documents Federal Charges?

  • Yes -215
  • No +160

Will Donald Trump Be Found Guilty On One Or More Felonies In New York?

  • Yes +115
  • No -150

While Donald’s chances of avoiding a guilty verdict in the Stormy Daniels case appear decent, his odds of being found guilty in the classified documents trial are not good at all.

His -215 moneyline odds of being found guilty of at least one of the 37 federal counts equates to a 68% likelihood. The following three props at BetOnline grant a more positive spin on how Trump will be spending the next couple of years.

Will Trump Cut A Plea Deal With State Or Federal Prosecutors?

  • No -500
  • Yes +300

Will Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2025?

  • No -1500
  • Yes +600

Will Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2026?

  • No -700
  • Yes +400

Odds posted at entertainment betting sites are rarely so certain about outcomes, but BetUS seems pretty certain that Trump’s legal team is not poised for a plea deal, nor will Donald see jail time prior to 2026.

The classified documents trial is now positioned for a mid-August start, whereas prior predictions had suggested it could begin as late as 2025. That raises the question as to how these trials would proceed if Trump were to be reelected as President in 2024.

Could Trump pardon himself from any charges he is facing as an elected President?

BetUS has also chimed in with odds on Trump being found guilty or going to jail. Once again, the moneylines suggest that Donald won’t be going to jail any time soon, nor is he willing to cut a deal with prosecutors.

Will Donald Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2026?

  • Yes +400
  • No -700

Will Donald Trump Cut A Plea Deal With State Or Federal Prosecutors?

  • Yes +300
  • No -500

Will Trump Serve A Day In Jail If Found Guilty Of Hush Money Charges?

  • Yes +1200
  • No -8000

Will Donald Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2025?

  • Yes +600
  • No -1500

The timelines for these political betting lines at online 18+ sportsbooks are quite long, so be mindful of that if placing a wager on any of them. For example, getting paid on Trump’s odds of going to jail before 2026 could take over three years to complete.

Sources – Bovada (Review) | BetOnline (Review) | BetUS (Review) | The Guardian